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kaberettObservation from this general election just gone: there were an awful lot of Lib Dem members insisting that Labour was awful forever because of things the party did ten years ago under Blair; there were a lot of Labour members insisting the Lib Dems were awful and untrustworthy forever because of things they did back in 2010 going into coalition[1]; and I know at least some Conservative voters airily certain that the shit going down with that party at the moment is a temporary blip and Common Sense Will Prevail.
Something each of these positions requires is hewing to a model based on a Strong And Probably Emotional Impression & utterly failing to update it in light of context/new data/etc. There's a term for this, right?
(Because maybe given the term I can go do the reading on how we overcome this cognitive bias.)
[1] tl;dr in order to understand How Shit Might Go Wrong In Future you gotta understand past motivations, and "overriding goal of getting PR meets incompetence at running campaigns" explains an awful lot of LD decisions
Something each of these positions requires is hewing to a model based on a Strong And Probably Emotional Impression & utterly failing to update it in light of context/new data/etc. There's a term for this, right?
(Because maybe given the term I can go do the reading on how we overcome this cognitive bias.)
[1] tl;dr in order to understand How Shit Might Go Wrong In Future you gotta understand past motivations, and "overriding goal of getting PR meets incompetence at running campaigns" explains an awful lot of LD decisions